The Serie A action continues this weekend as AS Roma hosts Inter Milan at the Stadio Olimpico on October 20, 2024. As Roma lie 10th in the Serie A table while Inter Milan sit 2nd.

Head-to-Head

In their last seven encounters, Inter Milan has the upper hand with 7 wins, while AS Roma has managed 1 victory and the teams have played out 6 draws.

AS Roma wins: 1

Inter Milan wins: 7

Draws: 6

Last 5 Matches

The last five encounters have showcased Inter’s consistency against Roma:

• AS Roma 2 – 4 Inter Milan (29 Oct 2023 – Serie A)
• Inter Milan 1 – 0 AS Roma (06 May 2023 – Serie A)
• AS Roma 0 – 2 Inter Milan (01 Oct 2022 – Serie A)
• Inter Milan 1 – 2 AS Roma (23 Apr 2022 – Serie A)
• Inter Milan 3 – 1 AS Roma (Date not provided)

Form Guide

AS Roma (Serie A Form):

• L, D, D, W, W, D

AS Roma (All Competitions):

• D, W, D, W, L, D

Inter Milan (Serie A Form):

• W, W, D, L, W, W

Inter Milan (All Competitions):

• D, D, L, W, W, W

Key Players

AS Roma:

• Lorenzo Pellegrini: The captain and playmaker will be crucial in linking up the midfield and attack.
• Paulo Dybala: Roma’s star forward, known for his creativity and finishing ability, will be vital in breaking down Inter’s defense.

Inter Milan:

• Lautaro Martinez: A key figure in attack, he has the pace and skill to cause problems for Roma’s defense.
• Nicolo Barella: Known for his box-to-box ability, Barella will be instrumental in controlling the midfield battle.

Possible Lineups

AS Roma:

• Goalkeeper: Svilar
• Defenders: Mancini, Ndicka, Hermoso
• Midfielders: Celik, Cristante, Pisilli, Angelino
• Forwards: Pellegrini, Dybala, Dovbyk

Inter Milan:

• Goalkeeper: Sommer
• Defenders: Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni
• Midfielders: Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco
• Forwards: Thuram, Martinez

Important Facts

• Inter Milan has only lost 1 of their last 5 Serie A matches against AS Roma.
• The most common scoreline in matches between these teams is 1-1, with 11 matches ending this way.
• AS Roma has not been kept scoreless in any of their home matches this season.
• When AS Roma leads 1-0 at home, they win 78% of the time.
• Inter Milan’s away record this season stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses.

Betting Tips

1. Both Teams to Score: Given both teams’ attacking prowess, expect goals from both sides.
2. Over 2.5 Goals: With the attacking talent on display, betting on over 2.5 goals could be wise.
3. Draw: Considering their history and current form, a draw seems plausible.
4. Inter to Win: With their recent form, Inter Milan might edge out Roma in a tight contest.
5. Roma to Score First: Roma has shown the ability to take the lead at home.

SWOT Analysis: AS Roma vs Inter Milan

AS Roma

Strengths:

• Home Advantage: Roma has a solid home record, having won 12 of their last 37 home encounters against Inter. They typically perform well in front of their home crowd.
• Midfield Creativity: With players like Lorenzo Pellegrini and Bryan Cristante, Roma has a strong midfield that can control the game and create scoring opportunities.
• Recent Form Improvement: While inconsistent, Roma’s ability to score in recent matches suggests they are finding form, having not been shut out at home in the current Serie A season.

Weaknesses:

• Defensive Vulnerability: They have struggled defensively in recent matches, with Inter scoring an average of 2.2 goals against them in their last encounters. This could be exploited by Inter’s attacking threats.
• Recent Head-to-Head Record: Roma hasn’t won any of their last three meetings against Inter and only one out of the last five matches overall, indicating a mental block against this opponent.
• Inconsistent Form: Roma’s current form includes only one win in their last five Serie A matches, which could impact their confidence.

Opportunities:

• Key Player Performance: If top scorer Artem Dovbyk can capitalize on chances, it could swing the match in their favor. An effective attacking display can potentially upset Inter’s winning streak.
• Rebounding from Past Losses: Roma has a chance to overturn their recent poor performances against Inter and reclaim pride at home.

Threats:

• Strong Opposition Form: Inter Milan is currently on a three-match winning streak and has not lost any of their last eight away matches, making them a formidable opponent.
• Injury Concerns: Key players could be at risk of injury, which may further deplete their squad and reduce their chances against a high-performing team like Inter.

Inter Milan

Strengths:

• Recent Dominance: Inter has a strong record against Roma, having won four of their last five matches. They also won both encounters last season, showcasing their tactical superiority.
• Scoring Efficiency: With players like Marcus Thuram and Lautaro Martinez leading the line, Inter has a potent attack capable of breaking down defenses. They also score a notable percentage of their goals in the first 15 minutes.
• Strong Away Performance: Inter has an impressive away record this season (1-2-0), indicating their ability to perform under pressure in hostile environments.

Weaknesses:

• Defensive Gaps: Although they have a strong attack, Inter’s defense can be exposed, particularly if Roma manages to apply early pressure and exploit any lapses in concentration.
• Dependence on Key Players: Inter heavily relies on the form of a few key players; injuries or off days could significantly impact their performance.

Opportunities:

• Continuing Momentum: With their current form, Inter can build on their winning streak and maintain psychological dominance over Roma.
• Exploiting Roma’s Weaknesses: Inter can take advantage of Roma’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly by pressing early and capitalizing on counter-attacks.

Threats:

• Roma’s Home Form: While Inter is strong, Roma’s potential to rally at home cannot be overlooked. A spirited performance from the hosts could unsettle Inter.
• Mental Fatigue: As the season progresses, fatigue from playing in multiple competitions might affect player performances, especially if matches come thick and fast.

Prediction

Based on recent form and head-to-head statistics, the prediction for this thrilling encounter is AS Roma 1 – 1 Inter Milan. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their opportunities, but a hard-fought draw seems likely in this tightly contested matchup.

Final Prediction: AS Roma 1 – 1 Inter Milan

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