AC Milan vs Juventus: Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus promises to be an exciting encounter as both teams look to solidify their positions in the league. With AC Milan coming off a mixed run of form and Juventus on a solid streak, the game at the iconic Giuseppe Meazza stadium will have high stakes. Both clubs are aiming for a top-four finish, and this fixture could play a significant role in their aspirations.

Head-to-Head:

AC Milan wins:65

Juventus wins: 88

Draws:72

AC Milan vs Juventus Last Matches

• 23 Oct 2023 – AC Milan 0-1 Juventus
• 27 Apr 2024 – Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
• 29 May 2023 – Juventus 0-1 AC Milan
• 08 Oct 2022 – AC Milan 2-0 Juventus

Serie A Standings:

• 6th – Juventus: 12 matches, 6 wins, 6 draws, 0 losses, 21 goals scored, 7 goals conceded (24 points)
• 7th – AC Milan: 11 matches, 5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 20 goals scored, 14 goals conceded (18 points)

AC Milan vs Juventus Lineups:

• AC Milan (4-2-3-1)
  • Goalkeeper: Mike Maignan
  • Defenders: Emerson, Malick Thiaw, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez
  • Midfielders: Youssouf Fofana, Tijani Reijnders, Samuel Chukwueze, Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao
  • Forward: Francesco Camarda
• Juventus (4-2-3-1)
  • Goalkeeper: Mattia Perin
  • Defenders: Nicolo Savona, Federico Gatti, Pierre Kalulu, Andrea Cambiaso
  • Midfielders: Manuel Locatelli, Kephren Thuram Ulien, Teun Koopmeiners
  • Forwards: Tim Weah, Kenan Yildiz, Dusan Vlahovic

Injuries:

• AC Milan:
  • Alessandro Florenzi (Defender)
  • Ismael Bennacer (Midfielder)
  • Luka Jovic (Forward)
• Juventus:
  • Bremer (Defender)
  • Juan Cabal (Defender)
  • Douglas Luiz (Midfielder)
  • Vasilije Adzic (Midfielder)
  • Arek Milik (Forward)
  • Dusan Vlahovic (Forward)
  • Nicolas Gonzalez (Forward)

10 Key Stats:

1. Most Common Result: 1-1 is the most frequent result in home games between AC Milan and Juventus (9 matches).
2. AC Milan has won 2 of their last 5 Serie A games against Juventus.
3. Juventus’ Away Record: They have not lost any of their last 7 away matches.
4. AC Milan has won 43% of first halves in their Serie A games this season.
5. Juventus scores 29% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minutes, while AC Milan scores 25% in the first 15 minutes.
6. AC Milan averages 2.14 goals per home match, Juventus scores 1.54 goals away on average.
7. Recent Form: Juventus are unbeaten in their last 5 games (WDDWW).
8. AC Milan has only lost 1 of their last 5 games against Juventus.
9. Head-to-Head Goals: Juventus scores an average of 0.6 goals per match against AC Milan, while Milan averages 1 goal per encounter.
10. Clean Sheets: AC Milan has managed a clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 Serie A meetings with Juventus.

SWOT Analysis: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan – SWOT Analysis

Strengths:

1. Home Advantage:
   • AC Milan’s home record in Serie A is solid, averaging 2.14 goals per match at the San Siro, which is a significant advantage in their favor.
   • They have won 43% of their first halves in Serie A, suggesting a strong start to matches when playing at home.
2. Early Goal Scoring:
   • AC Milan is particularly potent in the opening 15 minutes, scoring 25% of their goals during this period. This can help them gain early dominance and set the tone for the game.
3. Head-to-Head Performance Against Juventus:
   • In their last 5 meetings, AC Milan has managed to win 2 matches, while Juventus has won just 1, showing recent competitive success against their rivals.
   • AC Milan averages 1 goal per match against Juventus, while Juventus scores only 0.6 goals on average in this fixture, highlighting their defensive strength in these encounters.
4. Defensive Resilience:
   • AC Milan has managed 2 clean sheets in their last 5 Serie A meetings against Juventus, proving that they can effectively neutralize Juventus’ attack.

Weaknesses:

1. Inconsistency in Recent Form:
   • AC Milan has only 5 wins from their 11 Serie A matches this season and has been inconsistent in their performances. This is reflected in their 14 goals conceded.
2. Vulnerability When Behind:
   • When AC Milan is down 1-0 at home, their chances of winning are 0%, which suggests that once they fall behind, they struggle to recover.
3. Lack of Depth Due to Injuries:
   • Injuries to key players like Ismael Bennacer (Midfielder) and Alessandro Florenzi (Defender) weaken the squad, especially in key positions like defense and midfield.

Opportunities:

1. Home Advantage in Tight Encounters:
   • Given their decent home record, Milan can capitalize on Juventus’ defensive vulnerabilities and seek a win, especially in a low-scoring game.
2. Early Goal Scoring Strategy:
   • Milan can exploit their early goal-scoring ability (25% in the first 15 minutes) to take control of the game early and potentially unsettle Juventus’ defense.
3. Solidify Top Four Hopes:
   • With Juventus being only 6 points ahead, a win in this match could propel AC Milan into the top half of the table, keeping their Champions League aspirations alive.

Threats:

1. Juventus’ Unbeaten Away Record:
   • Juventus is unbeaten in their last 7 away matches, making them a tough opponent, especially with their recent defensive form.
2. Vlahovic Absence:
   • Although Dusan Vlahovic (Forward) is out, Juventus’ attacking strength may still pose problems for Milan with players like Tim Weah and Kenan Yildiz ready to step up.
3. Juventus’ Defensive Solidity:
   • Juventus has conceded just 7 goals in 12 matches this season, showcasing strong defensive discipline, which might nullify Milan’s offensive efforts.

Juventus – SWOT Analysis

Strengths:

1. Strong Away Form:
   • Juventus’ record this season is impressive, with 3 wins and 2 draws from their 5 away games in Serie A, highlighting their ability to perform under pressure on the road.
2. Defensive Strength:
   • Juventus has conceded just 7 goals in 12 Serie A matches this season, showcasing a very strong defense, which will be key in this encounter against an AC Milan side that is potent at home.
3. Good Transition Play:
   • Juventus scores 29% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minutes, suggesting a dangerous attacking phase when the opposition is perhaps less vigilant after the break.
4. Recent Form:
   • Juventus is unbeaten in their last 5 matches (WDDWW), demonstrating a solid run of results. Additionally, their defense has been resilient, with clean sheets in recent games.
5. Resilience When Leading:
   • Juventus is very effective when leading. When Juventus leads 1-0 away, they win 87% of their matches, showing their ability to close out games.

Weaknesses:

1. Attacking Depth:
   • The absence of Dusan Vlahovic (6 goals) and Arek Milik (Forward) significantly reduces their attacking options. This could lead to difficulties in breaking down AC Milan’s defense, especially if the match is tight.
2. Lack of Early Goal Scoring:
   • Juventus does not possess the same early goal-scoring impact as Milan. They score 29% of their goals between the 16th and 30th minutes, indicating that they are less likely to start games with a bang.
3. Injury Concerns:
   • In addition to Vlahovic, Bremer (Defender) and Douglas Luiz (Midfielder) are also out, leaving Juventus vulnerable in key positions.

Opportunities:

1. Exploit Milan’s Home Vulnerabilities:
   • While Milan has been strong at home, they have still lost 1 of their last 5 home matches in Serie A, meaning there could be an opportunity for Juventus to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
2. Capitalizing on Counter-Attacks:
   • Juventus’ style could be well-suited for counter-attacks, especially with AC Milan’s tendency to push forward and leave space behind.
3. Leverage Milan’s Weakness When Behind:
   • AC Milan has a 0% win rate when down 1-0 at home. Juventus should look to score first and apply pressure, which could exploit this weakness.

Threats:

1. AC Milan’s Early Attacks:
   • AC Milan scores 25% of their goals in the first 15 minutes. Juventus will need to stay focused from the start to prevent Milan from taking an early lead.
2. Lack of Offensive Firepower:
   • With Vlahovic and Milik missing, Juventus will lack their usual offensive edge. Their forwards, such as Tim Weah and Kenan Yildiz, will need to rise to the occasion and compensate for the absent stars.
3. Potential to Struggle When Behind:
   • While Juventus is strong when leading, they have only a 14% win rate when trailing 1-0 away, suggesting they can struggle to recover if they concede early.

Prediction:

This match is expected to be tight, with both sides showing strengths in defense and attack. AC Milan will benefit from their home advantage, but Juventus’ solid away form and recent defensive performances will make them a tough opponent. Given Milan’s recent resilience at home, they may just edge out a victory in a low-scoring encounter.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 1-1 Juventus

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