Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Preview: Prediction, Lineup and SWOT Analysis

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Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Preview: Prediction, Lineup and SWOT Analysis

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle: Ajax hosts PEC Zwolle in an Eredivisie clash at the Johan Cruijff ArenA. The home side, currently third in the league, is enjoying a solid run of form and will look to maintain pressure on the top two. Zwolle, sitting in 14th, will aim to defy expectations and secure valuable points to move away from the relegation zone.

 

Head-to-Head

In the last 11 matches over seven years, Ajax has dominated this fixture:

  • Ajax Wins: 9
  • Draws: 1
  • PEC Zwolle Wins: 1

Last 5 Meetings:

  • 05 Jul 2024 (Friendly): Ajax 0-1 PEC Zwolle
  • 31 Mar 2024: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
  • 17 Dec 2023: Ajax 2-2 PEC Zwolle
  • 30 Apr 2022: Ajax 3-0 PEC Zwolle
  • 11 Sep 2021: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax

 

Eredivisie Standings:

  • Ajax: 3rd, 26 points (8W, 2D, 1L), Last 5 – WWWWD
  • PEC Zwolle: 14th, 12 points (3W, 3D, 6L), Last 5 – DLLDW

 

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Lineups

Ajax (4-3-3):

  • Goalkeeper: Remko Pasveer
  • Defenders: Devyne Rensch, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, Jorrel Hato
  • Midfielders: Kenneth Taylor, Jordan Henderson, Davy Klaassen
  • Forwards: Mika Godts, Chuba Akpom, Wout Weghorst

PEC Zwolle (4-2-3-1):

  • Goalkeeper: Jasper Schendelaar
  • Defenders: Sherel Floranus, Anselmo Garcia MacNulty, Olivier Aertssen, Damian van der Haar
  • Midfielders: Younes Namli, Anouar El Azzouzi, Davy Van Den Berg, Jamiro Monteiro
  • Forwards: Dylan Mbayo, Dylan Vente

 

Key Stats

  1. Ajax has won 5 consecutive home games in the Eredivisie.
  2. Zwolle has failed to win any of their last 7 away matches.
  3. Ajax scores 28% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.
  4. Zwolle concedes 36% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes.
  5. Ajax’s home record this season: 5 wins, 0 losses.
  6. Zwolle’s away record this season: 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses.
  7. Ajax has scored at least one goal in 16 consecutive matches.
  8. Zwolle has conceded in each of their last 6 games.
  9. The most common scoreline when Ajax hosts Zwolle is 3-0 (4 times).
  10. Ajax has outscored Zwolle 68-21 in their 28 all-time Eredivisie meetings.

 

SWOT Analysis: Ajax vs PEC Zwolle

SWOT Analysis for Ajax Amsterdam

 

Strengths

  • Outstanding home performance this season (5-0-0).
  • Historically dominant against PEC Zwolle with 10 wins in the last 13 home meetings.
  • Unbeaten in their last 15 games.
  • High goal-scoring ability, scoring at least once in 16 consecutive matches.
  • Key player contributions: Jorrel Hato leading with 4 assists.

Weaknesses

  • Vulnerable when conceding first at home, winning only 40% of matches after going 0-1 down.
  • Discipline issues with Brian Brobbey accumulating 4 yellow cards.

Opportunities

  • Exploit PEC Zwolle’s poor away record (0-3-3 this season).
  • PEC Zwolle’s tendency to concede late goals (36% between minutes 76-90).
  • Potential to extend their streak of successive home wins in the Eredivisie to six.

Threats

  • PEC Zwolle’s upset in their last meeting, winning by one goal.
  • Risk of complacency after a string of strong performances.

 

SWOT Analysis for PEC Zwolle

 

Strengths

  • A resilient ability to score late, with 36% of their goals coming between minutes 76-90.
  • Dylan Mbayo as a key playmaker, leading with 6 assists this season.

Weaknesses

  • Poor recent form: winless in their last 7 away matches.
  • Struggle to score in away games, failing to find the net in 3 out of 6 away fixtures.
  • Historically poor record against Ajax Amsterdam, winning only 3 of their 28 meetings.

Opportunities

  • Momentum from their previous meeting, where they defeated Ajax by one goal.
  • Ajax’s occasional vulnerability when trailing at home.

Threats

  • Overwhelming odds against them, with only a 6.1% chance of victory.
  • A potent Ajax offense that scores 2.27 goals per home match on average.
  • Defensive frailty, having conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

Ajax vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Ajax is the overwhelming favorite with their strong home form and superior squad quality. Zwolle’s struggles on the road only increase the odds against them. Expect Ajax to dominate possession and create numerous chances.

Prediction: Ajax 2-0 PEC Zwolle

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