Barcelona Open 2025 SF – Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

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Barcelona Open 2025 SF – Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune: Saturday’s semifinal at the Barcelona Open promises a heavyweight showdown as towering Russian Karen Khachanov takes on Denmark’s rising star Holger Rune. Both men are chasing their first title of 2025 and their first-ever win over each other, with this being their maiden meeting on the ATP Tour.

Head-to-Head: First Meeting (0–0)

This marks the first time Khachanov and Rune will face off, adding intrigue to an already exciting semifinal battle. With contrasting styles and experience levels, this could be a tactical chess match on the clay.

Tale of the Tape: Veteran Strength vs Youthful Grit

Attribute Karen Khachanov Holger Rune
Age 28 21
ATP Rank 27 13
Height 6’6″ (198 cm) 6’2″ (188 cm)
Weight 192 lbs (87 kg) 169 lbs (77 kg)
Plays Right-handed Right-handed
Backhand Two-handed Two-handed
Turned Pro 2013 2020
Career Titles 7 4
Career W/L 286–209 150–94
YTD Record (2025) 5–8 11–9
YTD Titles 0 0
Prize Money $18.68 million $12.57 million

 

Current Form: Rune Peaking, Khachanov Grinding

Holger Rune is finally finding his rhythm after a shaky start to 2025. He’s posted three straight wins in Barcelona, taking out Cameron Norrie, Jaume Munar, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — all without dropping a set since the first round.

Khachanov has taken the long route to the semis, needing over 6 hours on court. He’s fought past Albert Ramos-Vinolas, Sebastian Baez (in three sets), and Casper Ruud, showing flashes of the form that took him to a Grand Slam semifinal in the past.

Surface Edge: Clay is Rune’s Friend, But Khachanov is No Stranger

Rune holds a solid 3–1 clay record this season and thrives on red dirt, especially with his quick court coverage and heavy topspin. Khachanov, though more known for his hard-court success, has the weapons to do damage on clay — especially with his booming serve and forehand

Karen Khachanov vs Holger Rune Prediction

It’s power versus precision. Khachanov’s big game can overwhelm, but Rune has been cleaner, more consistent, and more comfortable on clay this week. Expect a tight three-set battle, but Rune’s youth and form may give him the edge.

Prediction: Rune in three sets

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