Belgium vs Italy: Belgium hosts Italy in an exciting UEFA Nations League clash at Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels on November 14, 2024. Both teams will be eager to secure a win in what promises to be an intense encounter.

Head-to-Head

In their last 11 encounters:

• Belgium Wins: 1
• Draws: 1
• Italy Wins: 4

Last 3 Meetings

1. October 11, 2024 – UEFA Nations League: Italy 2-2 Belgium
2. October 10, 2021 – UEFA Nations League: Italy 2-1 Belgium
3. July 3, 2021 – Euro 2024: Belgium 1-2 Italy

Italy remains unbeaten in their last three meetings, with two wins and a recent 2-2 draw, reflecting a competitive edge in this matchup.

Belgium vs Italy Standings

League A, Group 2

1. Italy – 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 11:5 goals)
2. France – 9 points
3. Belgium – 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses, 6:7 goals)
4. Israel – 0 points

Form

Belgium

• Nations League: W-L-D-L
• All Competitions: D-L-W-L-D-L

Italy

• Nations League: W-W-D-W
• All Competitions: D-L-W-W-D-W

Italy’s recent form is significantly stronger, giving them momentum for this critical match.

Belgium vs Italy Lineups

Belgium Starting XI
Formation: 4-3-3
Casteels; Castagne, Debast, Faes, Theate; Mangala, Onana, Vermeeren; Bakayoko, Lukaku, Trossard

Italy Starting XI
Formation: 3-5-2
Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni; Cambiaso, Barella, Locatelli, Tonali, Dimarco; Raspadori, Retegui

Key Players

• Belgium: Romelu Lukaku, Leandro Trossard, Onana
• Italy: Giacomo Raspadori, Sandro Tonali, Gianluigi Donnarumma

Lukaku’s experience and goal-scoring ability make him a key player for Belgium, while Italy’s midfield dynamo Tonali and goalkeeper Donnarumma are expected to play pivotal roles.

10 Key Stats

1. Italy leads Belgium 6-2 in wins over their last 11 meetings.
2. Italy scores 27% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.
3. Italy is unbeaten in their last 4 games.
4. Belgium has conceded in each of their last 5 matches.
5. Italy has conceded a goal in their last 8 games.
6. Belgium wins the first half in 42% of their matches; Italy in 50%.
7. The last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw.
8. Belgium has a 100% win rate when leading 1-0 at home.
9. Italy has a 100% win rate when leading 0-1 away.
10. Italy’s performance in the Nations League is better than Belgium’s.

Belgium vs Italy Prediction

Prediction: Italy 2-1 Belgium

Based on Italy’s current form and their favorable head-to-head record, they are likely to edge out Belgium in a close encounter, with their solid midfield and attack giving them a slight advantage.

SWOT Analysis: Belgium vs Italy

Belgium

Strengths

• Strong Home Scoring Record: Belgium scores 2.12 goals per game on average when playing at home, which could provide an edge against Italy.
• Experienced Attack: With players like Romelu Lukaku, Belgium boasts a solid forward line capable of creating scoring opportunities.
• Possession: Belgium maintains 56% possession on average, reflecting a good midfield structure and control over games.

Weaknesses

• Defensive Instability: Belgium has conceded in each of their last five matches and has a negative goal difference in the current group (6:7), indicating vulnerability in defense.
• Struggles in Recent Form: With just one win and one draw in their last four games, Belgium’s recent form is inconsistent.
• Low Win Rate Against Italy: Italy has outperformed Belgium in head-to-head matches, with Belgium winning only two of the last 11 encounters.

Opportunities

• Home Advantage: Playing at Stade Roi Baudouin could be advantageous, given Belgium’s record of converting scoring opportunities at home.
• Exploit Italy’s Defensive Gaps: Italy has also shown some defensive lapses, conceding in each of their last eight matches, which Belgium could capitalize on.
• Key Players Stepping Up: If Lukaku, Trossard, and others perform to their potential, Belgium could leverage their attacking strength.

Threats

• Italy’s Solid Form: Italy is unbeaten in the Nations League this season, showing better overall performance and stability.
• Italy’s Strength in Key Moments: Italy scores a significant portion of its goals between the 61st-75th minutes, suggesting that Belgium needs to be extra cautious in the second half.
• Low Recovery Rate When Trailing: Belgium has shown difficulty in overcoming deficits, with a low win rate when falling behind, which could be problematic if Italy scores early.

Italy

Strengths

• Consistent Form: Italy is undefeated in the current Nations League group with three wins and a draw, showing strong performance and momentum.
• Effective Goal Scoring: Italy has scored 11 goals in the group stage, the highest in their group, indicating a potent offense.
• Key Scoring Window: Italy scores 27% of their goals between the 61st-75th minutes, demonstrating strategic second-half execution and fitness.

Weaknesses

• Defensive Vulnerabilities: Italy has conceded in each of their last eight matches, pointing to a need for improvement in their defensive structure.
• Lower Average Possession: At 53% possession, Italy maintains less control over the game than Belgium, which could affect their ability to dominate play.
• Shot Accuracy: Italy averages fewer shots (11.3) compared to Belgium (15.3), suggesting they may have less firepower in open play.

Opportunities

• Exploit Belgium’s Defensive Weakness: Belgium’s tendency to concede could offer Italy the opportunity to score multiple goals, especially in the second half.
• Maintaining Lead Success: Italy has a strong track record when leading 1-0 away, maintaining 100% success in those situations, which could help them secure a win if they score first.
• Formidable Head-to-Head Record: Italy’s confidence from their historical success against Belgium could further motivate them.

Threats

• Belgium’s Strong Attack at Home: Belgium’s ability to score over two goals on average at home presents a challenge for Italy’s defense, which has been porous lately.
• Potential Fatigue in Key Players: Italy has had a demanding season, which could affect the stamina of players in a high-stakes away match.
• High-Pressure Situations: If Belgium manages to dominate possession and press high, Italy’s defense may struggle under sustained pressure.

Belgium vs Italy Livestream

• Live Telecast: Sony Sports Network in India
• Streaming: SonyLIV app and website

Catch the action live as these two European heavyweights clash in what promises to be an intense match in Brussels.

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