Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa Preview: SWOT Analysis and Prediction

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Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa Preview: SWOT Analysis and Prediction

The Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium in Chennai is set to host an exciting clash as Chennaiyin FC takes on FC Goa in the Indian Super League on October 24, 2024.

 

Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa Head-to-Head Record

In the past seven years, FC Goa has dominated this fixture, winning 12 out of 19 encounters. Chennaiyin has managed only five wins, with two matches ending in a draw.

Chennaiyin wins: 5

FC Goa wins: 12

Draws: 2

 

Last 5 Meetings:

  • 20 April 2024: FC Goa 2-1 Chennaiyin
  • 14 April 2024: FC Goa 4-1 Chennaiyin
  • 5 November 2023: Chennaiyin 0-3 FC Goa
  • 16 February 2023: FC Goa 1-2 Chennaiyin
  • 21 October 2022: Chennaiyin 0-2 FC Goa

 

Current Team Form

  • Chennaiyin FC: W, L, D, L
  • FC Goa: L, D, W, D, L

Both teams have been inconsistent this season. Chennaiyin will look to bounce back after some mixed results, while FC Goa will aim to build momentum with a win after a draw in their last match.

 

Possible Lineups

Chennaiyin FC (4-4-2 Formation):

  • Goalkeeper: Samik Mitra
  • Defenders: Laldinliana Renthlei, Ryan Edwards, PC Laldinpuia, Ankit Mukherjee
  • Midfielders: Connor Shields, Lalrinliana Hnamte, Lukas Pivetta Brambilla
  • Forwards: Farukh Choudhary, Irfan Yadwad, Wilmar Jordan

FC Goa (4-2-3-1 Formation):

  • Goalkeeper: Laxmikant Kattimani
  • Defenders: Jay Gupta, Odei Onaindia, Boris Singh, Borja Herrera Gonzalez
  • Midfielders: Carl McHugh, Rowllin Borges, Brison Deuben Fernandes
  • Forwards: Udanta Singh, Sangwan Akash, Armando Sadiku

 

Key Players to Watch

  • Chennaiyin FC:
    • Wilmar Jordan: A reliable goal-scorer who could make a difference up front.
    • Connor Shields: Vital in the midfield for controlling the game’s tempo.
  • FC Goa:
    • Armando Sadiku: The striker is in good form and a constant threat.
    • Carl McHugh: Key to stabilizing the midfield and winning possession.

 

Important Match Stats and Trends

  • FC Goa has scored in their last 8 matches.
  • Chennaiyin FC has failed to win in their previous 4 encounters with FC Goa.
  • The average number of goals per game between the two sides is 3.8.
  • Chennaiyin wins 24% of the halftimes, while Goa wins 42%.
  • When Goa leads at halftime, they have won 57% of the time.

 

5 Pre Match Analysis for Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa

  1. Over 2.5 Goals: Both teams have a tendency to score and concede, making a high-scoring game likely.
  2. Both Teams to Score: Given FC Goa’s scoring streak and Chennaiyin’s shaky defense, expect goals on both ends.
  3. First-Half Over 1.5 Goals: This fixture has historically seen early goals.
  4. Armando Sadiku to Score Anytime: The Goa forward is in form and likely to score.
  5. Draw or FC Goa Win (Double Chance): Goa’s recent dominance suggests they are the safer pick.

 

SWOT Analysis for Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa

 

Chennaiyin FC

Strengths

  • Strong Home Advantage in Specific Situations: Chennaiyin FC wins 100% of their matches when leading 1-0 at home, indicating they perform well when taking an early lead.
  • Positive Recent Form: Chennaiyin FC’s recent form in the last five matches is better than FC Goa’s, suggesting they are building momentum.
  • Resilience at Home: Even when trailing 0-1 at home, Chennaiyin FC still wins 25% of their matches, showing some level of recovery ability.
  • Better Overall Season Performance: Chennaiyin FC’s overall Indian Super League (ISL) performance this season has been better than FC Goa’s.

Weaknesses

  • Poor Head-to-Head Record: Chennaiyin FC has won only 1 of their last 5 meetings with FC Goa, demonstrating a lack of success against this specific opponent.
  • Low Halftime Wins: Chennaiyin FC wins only 24% of halftimes, suggesting they struggle to impose dominance early in matches.
  • Low Scoring Against FC Goa: Chennaiyin FC averages only 1 goal per match against FC Goa, indicating a challenge in breaching their defense.
  • Discipline Issues: PC Laldinpuia has accumulated the most yellow cards (2), indicating potential disciplinary challenges.

Opportunities

  • Exploit FC Goa’s Defensive Weaknesses: FC Goa has conceded at least one goal in their last 13 matches, offering Chennaiyin a good chance to capitalize.
  • FC Goa’s Vulnerability in Comebacks: If Chennaiyin FC can take an early lead, FC Goa’s 57% win rate when leading 0-1 away leaves room for Chennaiyin to stage a comeback.
  • Recent Momentum: With better form recently, Chennaiyin FC could reverse the head-to-head trend.

Threats

  • FC Goa’s Head-to-Head Dominance: Goa has historically dominated with 17 wins from 28 encounters.
  • High Goal Conceding Risk: FC Goa averages 2.8 goals per game against Chennaiyin FC, posing a significant defensive challenge.
  • Potential Pressure from Previous Losses: Chennaiyin FC has lost 4 consecutive games to FC Goa, which could affect their confidence.

 

FC Goa

Strengths

  • Strong Head-to-Head Record: FC Goa has won 17 out of 28 matches against Chennaiyin FC, including 4 of the last 5.
  • Consistent Attack: FC Goa has scored in each of their last 8 matches, indicating a reliable attacking unit.
  • Early Dominance: They win 42% of halftimes, showing a tendency to start matches strongly.
  • High Goal Scoring Average: They average 2.8 goals per match against Chennaiyin FC, a considerable offensive advantage.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive Issues: FC Goa has conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 matches, highlighting defensive fragility.
  • Struggles to Recover from Deficits: When down 1-0 away, FC Goa only wins 20% of the time, showing difficulty in comebacks.
  • Inconsistent Away Performance: FC Goa wins just 57% of matches when leading 1-0 away, which suggests they can be vulnerable even after gaining an early lead.
  • Disciplinary Issues: Odei Onaindia has received two yellow cards, reflecting some disciplinary concerns.

Opportunities

  • Leverage Recent Dominance: FC Goa’s 4 wins in the last 5 meetings could give them psychological superiority over Chennaiyin FC.
  • High Scoring Potential: With both teams averaging 3.8 goals in their encounters, FC Goa has an opportunity to capitalize on an open match.
  • Exploit Chennaiyin’s Weak Start: Chennaiyin FC wins only 24% of halftimes, which could allow Goa to establish an early lead.

Threats

  • Chennaiyin’s Improved Form: Chennaiyin FC’s recent form is better than FC Goa’s, potentially making them dangerous despite previous losses.
  • Struggles to Keep Clean Sheets: FC Goa’s inability to keep opponents from scoring could leave them vulnerable if Chennaiyin builds confidence.
  • Pressure to Maintain Winning Record: FC Goa’s strong record against Chennaiyin FC could backfire if expectations create added pressure.

 

Chennaiyin FC vs FC Goa Prediction:

Based on current form and previous encounters, FC Goa looks likely to edge out a close contest. Chennaiyin will put up a fight, but Goa’s attacking prowess might just tip the balance.

Final Prediction: Chennaiyin FC 1-2 FC Goa

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