Inter Miami vs New England Revolution Preview: Stats, SWOT Analysis and Betting Tips

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Inter Miami vs New England Revolution Preview: Stats, SWOT Analysis and Betting Tips

The excitement is palpable as Inter Miami CF prepares to face off against New England Revolution in a highly anticipated MLS clash. Inter Miami sits on top of the Eastern Conference while New England Revolution is 14th in the same.

Head to Head

In the last 7 meetings between Inter Miami CF and New England Revolution, Inter Miami has enjoyed the upper hand, winning 4 matches, while New England has claimed victory in 3.

Inter Miami wins: 4

New England Revolution: 3

Draw: 0

Last 5 Matches

The last five encounters have showcased the competitive nature between Inter Miami CF and New England Revolution:

  • New England Revolution 1 – 4 Inter Miami CF (28 Apr 2024 – MLS)
  • New England Revolution 3 – 1 Inter Miami CF (11 Jun 2023 – MLS)
  • Inter Miami CF 2 – 1 New England Revolution (14 May 2023 – MLS)
  • New England Revolution 2 – 0 Inter Miami CF (01 May 2022 – MLS)
  • Inter Miami CF 3 – 2 New England Revolution (10 Apr 2022 – MLS)

 

 

 

Key Players

  • Inter Miami CF:
    • Luis Suarez: The top scorer with 18 goals, providing a significant offensive threat.
    • Lionel Messi: With 10 assists, he has been pivotal in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
  • New England Revolution:
    • Giacomo Vrioni: The leading scorer for New England with 9 goals, aiming to add to his tally.
    • Carles Gil: The primary assister with 6 assists, crucial in setting up plays for the Revolution.

Possible Lineups

Inter Miami CF

  • Formation: 4-3-3
    • Goalkeeper: Ustari
    • Defenders: Aviles, Kryvtsov, Allen
    • Midfielders: Gressel, Ruiz, Redondo
    • Forwards: Rojas, Taylor, Campana

New England Revolution

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
    • Goalkeeper: Ivacic
    • Defenders: Bye, Parker, Romney, Sands
    • Midfielders: Polster, Kaye
    • Forwards: N. Gil, Harkes, Boateng, Vrioni

Important Facts

  • Inter Miami CF has not lost in their last 8 games and maintains a solid home record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses this season.
  • New England Revolution has a poor away record, with only 4 wins and 12 losses in their last 16 away matches.
  • Inter Miami CF scores a notable 21% of their goals in the last 15 minutes of matches, while New England scores 23% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Betting Tips

  1. Inter Miami to Win: Given their strong form, betting on Inter Miami to win is a solid choice, with experts estimating a 70% probability of victory.
  2. Over 2.5 Goals: The average number of goals in past meetings is 3.8, making it likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in this match.
  3. Both Teams to Score: With both teams having capable attackers, a bet on both teams to score could yield positive results.
  4. Luis Suarez to Score Anytime: As the top scorer, betting on Suarez to score during the match is worth considering.
  5. First Half Goals: Given the average of 2.2 goals in the first half of past meetings, betting on over 1.5 first-half goals could be a smart move.

SWOT Analysis: Inter Miami vs New England Revolution

Inter Miami CF

Strengths

  • Strong Home Performance: Inter Miami CF has not lost any of their last 8 home matches, showcasing a robust home-field advantage with a home record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.
  • Goal-Scoring Ability: The team has consistently scored in 23 consecutive matches and averages 2.33 goals per match when playing at home.
  • Key Players: Luis Suarez, as the top scorer with 18 goals, and Lionel Messi, with 10 assists, significantly contribute to the team’s offensive strength.
  • Late-Game Performance: The team scores 21% of its goals in the last 15 minutes of matches (76-90 minutes), indicating a strong finishing ability.
  • Recent Form: Inter Miami CF is currently on an 8-match unbeaten streak, further enhancing their confidence heading into matches.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive Vulnerabilities: Although they have a solid record, there may still be defensive lapses, as indicated by the goal difference of 14-11 in the last 7 meetings with New England Revolution.
  • First-Half Performance: They win only 36% of first halves, suggesting a potential lack of urgency in starting matches.

Opportunities

  • Exploiting New England’s Away Struggles: With New England Revolution losing 5 consecutive away matches, Inter Miami CF can capitalize on this weakness to secure another home victory.
  • Tactical Flexibility: With a strong squad depth including players like Tomas Aviles and Leonardo Campana, there is flexibility to adapt tactics as needed.

Threats

  • Pressure of Expectations: Being in strong form comes with the pressure of maintaining results, which could lead to performance anxiety.
  • Injuries: Key player injuries could impact their current form and depth, particularly if they occur before critical matches.

 

New England Revolution

Strengths

  • Resilience in Matches: Despite recent struggles, New England Revolution has historically been competitive against Inter Miami CF, winning 3 of their last 7 encounters.
  • Set-Piece and Counter-Attacking Ability: Their ability to score 23% of their goals between minutes 31-45 indicates a potential strength in counter-attacks or exploiting set pieces during this time.

Weaknesses

  • Poor Away Form: The team has a dreadful away record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses this season, including a 5-match losing streak away from home.
  • Inconsistent Goal Scoring: They have failed to score in 7 of their 16 away matches this season, reflecting a significant issue in converting chances into goals.

Opportunities

  • Potential for Tactical Adjustments: Utilizing a 4-2-3-1 formation allows for more midfield control and creative attacking options, which could turn the tide in future matches.
  • Improvement from Key Players: Players like Giacomo Vrioni, who has scored 9 goals, can be pivotal in breaking their scoring droughts.

Threats

  • Pressure from Losing Streak: With a current 3-match losing streak in MLS, the team’s confidence may be fragile, affecting their performance.
  • Dependence on Star Players: Relying heavily on key players like Carles Gil for assists may limit their strategic options, especially if they are marked closely by opponents.

Prediction

Based on thorough analysis of statistics, recent form, and head-to-head encounters, our prediction for this match is:

Inter Miami CF 2 – 1 New England Revolution

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