MADRID OPEN QF 2025 – Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN QF 2025 – Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud: Daniil Medvedev faces Norwegian clay-court specialist Casper Ruud in a high-stakes quarterfinal at the Madrid Open. Medvedev leads their head-to-head 3–0, but Ruud has shown solid form on clay this season and will be looking for revenge in their fourth encounter.

Head-to-Head

Medvedev leads 3–0

  • Scheduled: Quarterfinal | Madrid Open

  • Court: Manolo Santana Stadium

 

Player Comparison

Category Daniil Medvedev Casper Ruud
Country Russia Norway
Age 29 26
Height 6’6″ (198 cm) 6’0″ (183 cm)
Weight 183 lbs (83 kg) 165 lbs (75 kg)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Backhand Two-Handed Two-Handed
Turned Pro 2014 2015
Career High Ranking 1 2
Current Ranking 10 15
Career Titles 21 Main, 1 Slam 12 Main
Career W/L Record 351–138 247–144
2025 W/L Record 16–8 16–6
Prize Money $31.6M+ $17.5M+

 

Form & Outlook

Medvedev enters this match with two recent wins over Nakashima and Cerundolo, showing improved adaptation to clay—historically not his strongest surface. His serve and flat strokes can still do damage in Madrid’s altitude.

Ruud, on the other hand, has impressed with wins over Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Korda without dropping a set. As a former French Open finalist, he’s more comfortable on clay and will try to extend rallies and target Medvedev’s positioning.

Surface & Style Matchup

Madrid’s faster clay gives Medvedev’s flatter baseline game some bite, but Ruud’s heavy topspin and court craft give him the edge in extended rallies. Expect Medvedev to counterpunch and return well, while Ruud will seek to dominate with forehand dictation.

Daniil Medvedev vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Ruud has looked locked in this tournament and has a clear edge on clay. Medvedev’s past wins over him came on faster surfaces. With his form and comfort on clay, Ruud could finally break the streak—though not without a fight.

Prediction: Casper Ruud in 3 sets.

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