MADRID OPEN QF 2025 – Matteo Arnaldi vs Jack Draper Prediction ,H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN QF 2025 – Matteo Arnaldi vs Jack Draper Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

Matteo Arnaldi vs Jack Draper: Italy’s Matteo Arnaldi takes on rising British star Jack Draper in a quarterfinal clash at the Madrid Open. This marks their first-ever meeting, with both players looking to break new ground at Masters 1000 level. Draper has had the better season so far, but Arnaldi’s resilience and clay-court grit will be tested under the lights.

Head-to-Head


Tied 0–0 (First Meeting)

  • Scheduled: Quarterfinal | Madrid Open

  • Court: Arantxa Sanchez Stadium

 

Player Comparison

Category Matteo Arnaldi Jack Draper
Country Italy Great Britain
Age 24 23
Height 6’1″ (185 cm) 6’4″ (193 cm)
Weight 157 lbs (71 kg) 187 lbs (85 kg)
Plays Right-Handed Left-Handed
Backhand Two-Handed Two-Handed
Turned Pro 2019 2018
Career High Ranking 30 6
Current Ranking 44 6
Career Titles 0 3
Career W/L Record 56–53 93–55
2025 W/L Record 8–9 14–4
Prize Money $3.51M $6.79M

 

Form & Outlook


Arnaldi has fought hard this tournament, clocking nearly 8 hours on court across four matches. His fitness and clay-court comfort have helped him survive tough battles, but his draw has also tested his limits.

Draper, meanwhile, has surged into the quarterfinal with clean wins and minimal court time. The Brit is in strong form this season, already bagging a title and showing maturity and power in his shot selection.

Surface & Style Matchup


Madrid’s altitude benefits Draper’s explosive lefty serve and forehand, allowing him to keep points short. Arnaldi’s agility and ability to construct points on clay will be his key weapon, especially if he can extend rallies and drag Draper into longer exchanges.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Jack Draper Prediction


Arnaldi has shown grit, but Draper’s current level, physical freshness, and fast-surface weapons give him the upper hand. Unless the Italian can make this a physical dogfight, Draper should advance with control.

Prediction: Jack Draper in 2 sets.

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