MADRID OPEN R64 2025 – Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN R64 2025 – Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov: A compelling second-round matchup awaits at the Madrid Open as Chilean powerhouse Nicolas Jarry takes on the elegant Bulgarian shotmaker Grigor Dimitrov. Both players bring vastly different styles to the red clay—Jarry with his booming serve and heavy baseline game, and Dimitrov with his silky movement and one-handed backhand finesse. With their head-to-head locked at 2–2, this encounter could be a classic.

Head-to-Head

Tied 2–2

  • Dimitrov won their last meeting in Monte Carlo 2025 (6–3, 6–4 on clay)

  • Jarry claimed the 2023 Geneva final (7–6(1), 6–1 on clay)

Player Comparison

Category Nicolas Jarry Grigor Dimitrov
Country Chile Bulgaria
Age 29 33
Height 6’7″ (201 cm) 6’3″ (191 cm)
Weight 198 lbs (90 kg) 178 lbs (81 kg)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Backhand Two-Handed One-Handed
Turned Pro 2014 2008
Career High Ranking 16 3
Current Ranking 57 16
Career Titles 3 9
Challenger Titles 5 4
Minor Titles 6 6
Career W/L Record 117–119 471–298
2025 W/L Record 4–8 12–7
Prize Money $6.81M $29.82M

 

Form & Context

Jarry enters Madrid searching for rhythm on clay, having won only 4 matches this year. Though his towering serve can be lethal at altitude, inconsistency has plagued him. His win over Dimitrov in Geneva (2023) stands as a reminder of his clay credentials when locked in.

Dimitrov, meanwhile, is showing solid form in 2025 (12–7), with recent victories over Jarry and others. At 33, he’s aging gracefully, blending athleticism with experience and often finding ways to frustrate aggressive baseliners like Jarry.

Surface Dynamics

Though clay typically slows things down, Madrid’s higher elevation allows big servers like Jarry to thrive. Still, Dimitrov has had the edge on this surface in their last meeting, using his versatility and timing to blunt Jarry’s power.

Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction

Expect a clash of tempo—Jarry aiming for short points with his booming serve and forehand, while Dimitrov seeks rhythm and rallies. The Bulgarian’s current form and superior movement give him the edge.

Prediction: Grigor Dimitrov in 2 tight sets.

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