MADRID OPEN R64 2025 – Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN R64 2025 – Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction , H2H, and Match Analysis

Novak Djokovic vs Matteo Arnaldi: Novak Djokovic returns to action at the Madrid Open, facing off against Italy’s Matteo Arnaldi in the second round. It’s their first career meeting, and while Djokovic is the clear favorite on paper, Arnaldi is eager to make a statement on the big stage.

Head-to-Head

First meeting

  • Djokovic leads 0–0

  • Scheduled: 2nd Round | Madrid Open

Player Comparison

Category Matteo Arnaldi Novak Djokovic
Country Italy Serbia
Age 24 37
Height 6’1″ (185 cm) 6’2″ (188 cm)
Weight 157 lbs (71 kg) 170 lbs (77 kg)
Plays Right-Handed Right-Handed
Backhand Two-Handed Two-Handed
Turned Pro 2019 2003
Career High Ranking 30 1
Current Ranking 44 5
Career Titles 0 99
Career W/L Record 56–53 1136–228
2025 W/L Record 9–9 12–6
Prize Money $3.51M $186.93M

 

Form & Outlook

Arnaldi is having a decent 2025 season, with a near even win-loss record. His lack of experience against top-tier opponents, though, might leave him vulnerable under the Madrid spotlight.

Djokovic, despite being 37, remains a dominant force. He hasn’t played as many matches this season but is still sharp. He’s a master strategist, especially on clay, where his movement and defense are legendary.

Surface & Style Matchup

Clay slows things down, favoring Djokovic’s return game and defensive baseline play. Arnaldi will need to take risks, go for his shots, and avoid getting caught in long rallies where Djokovic excels.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak Djokovic Prediction

Arnaldi has the talent to compete, but not yet the experience to conquer. Djokovic will likely absorb the pressure and pick him apart with precision and patience.

Prediction: Novak Djokovic in 2 sets.

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