MADRID OPEN W Final 2025 – Cori Gauff vs Aryna Sabalecnka Prediction ,H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN W Final 2025 – Cori Gauff vs Aryna Sabalecnka Prediction ,H2H, and Match Analysis

Cori Gauff vs Aryna Sabalenka: The stage is set for a thrilling final at the Mutua Madrid Open as two of the WTA Tour’s top stars, Cori Gauff and Aryna Sabalenka, prepare to clash for the title. Gauff has been in dominant form throughout the tournament, including a stunning semifinal victory over Iga Swiatek, while Sabalenka has had to dig deep, showcasing her resilience through several tight matches. With both players in the top five and boasting recent Grand Slam success, this final promises to be a high-quality battle between power and athleticism on the red clay of Madrid.

Head-to-Head

  • Total meetings: Gauff leads 5–4

  • Most recent: Gauff def. Sabalenka 7-6(4), 6-3 – 2024 WTA Finals (Indoor Hard)

  • Notable clay meeting: Sabalenka def. Gauff 1-6, 7-5, 7-6(2) – Rome 2021

Player Comparison

Category Cori Gauff Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Ranking 4 1
Highest Ranking 2 1
Age 21 26
2025 Win-Loss 19–6 30–5
2025 Clay Record 7–1 6–1
Time on Court in Madr

 

Road to the Final

Cori Gauff

  • Defeated Dayana Yastremska 0-6, 6-2, 7-5 (2nd Round)

  • Defeated Ann Li 6-2, 6-3 (3rd Round)

  • Defeated Belinda Bencic 6-4, 6-2 (4th Round)

  • Defeated Mirra Andreeva 7-5, 6-1 (Quarterfinal)

  • Defeated Iga Swiatek 6-1, 6-1 (Semifinal)

Aryna Sabalenka

  • Defeated Anna Blinkova 6-3, 6-4 (2nd Round)

  • Defeated Elise Mertens 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 (3rd Round)

  • Defeated Peyton Stearns 6-2, 6-4 (4th Round)

  • Defeated Marta Kostyuk 7-6(4), 7-6(7) (Quarterfinal)

  • Defeated Elina Svitolina 6-3, 7-5 (Semifinal)

Match Analysis

Cori Gauff comes into this final with a major confidence boost after a commanding performance against world No. 2 Iga Swiatek, losing just two games. Her speed, consistency, and improved forehand have made her a major force on clay. Sabalenka, meanwhile, has had a more physical route to the final, but her experience in Madrid—where she has already won twice—makes her a formidable opponent.

Both players have split their meetings on hard courts, with Gauff holding a slight edge overall. On clay, however, Sabalenka’s aggressive baseline game can be especially effective if she keeps her unforced errors under control.

Prediction

Gauff’s current form cannot be ignored, but Sabalenka’s proven record in Madrid and her mental toughness in clutch moments give her a slight advantage. Expect a high-quality, hard-fought final that could go the distance.


Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka to win in three sets

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