Newcastle United vs Chelsea: Newcastle faces off against Chelsea on October 30, 2024 in an exciting encounter in the EFL. Here is a preview of Newcastle United vs Chelsea.
Head-to-Head Record
- Last 7 Years:
- Newcastle Wins: 4
- Draws: 2
- Chelsea Wins: 11
Recent Matches:
- 27 Oct 2024 – Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle (Premier League)
- 12 Mar 2024 – Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle (Premier League)
- 20 Dec 2023 – Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (League Cup)
- 25 Nov 2023 – Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 27 Jul 2023 – Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle (Friendly)
Form Guide
Newcastle United:
- EFL Cup: W, W
- All Competitions: L, D, W, D, L, L
- Recent Struggles: No wins in the last 3 meetings against Chelsea, with 2 matches without scoring.
Chelsea:
- EFL Cup: W
- All Competitions: W, W, D, L, W, W
- Recent Momentum: Only one loss in the last 5 meetings against Newcastle.
Possible Lineups
Newcastle United:
- Formation (4-3-3):
Vlachodimos; Livramento, Krafth, Schar, Kelly; Longstaff, Willock, Tonali; Murphy, Osula, Isak
Chelsea:
- Formation (4-2-3-1):
Jorgensen; Disasi, Badiashile, Adarabioyo, Cucurella; Fernandez, Dewsbury-Hall; Sancho, Felix, Mudryk; Nkunku
Key Players
- Newcastle:
- Alexander Isak – A vital goal threat and focal point in attack.
- Sandro Tonali – Key to controlling the midfield tempo.
- Livramento – Dynamic on the right, offering both defensive stability and attacking support.
- Chelsea:
- Christopher Nkunku – Leading the front line with creative flair.
- Enzo Fernandez – A midfield powerhouse, capable of dictating play.
- Jadon Sancho – Looking to regain form with quick dribbling and incisive passing.
Important Stats
- When Newcastle leads 1-0 at home, they win 75% of the time.
- When Chelsea leads 0-1 away, they win 66% of the time.
- Newcastle has a poor comeback rate when trailing 0-1 at home, winning just 16% of such matches.
- Both teams have lost their previous matches, but Chelsea’s recent form is superior.
- Most Common Result: 0-1 (Chelsea) – 11 matches have ended with this result.
- Newcastle at Home vs Chelsea: 32 meetings – Newcastle 15 wins, Chelsea 10 wins, 7 draws.
- Goals Average: 3.4 per match (combined)
- First Half Goals Average: 1.8
- Newcastle Home Goals Average: 2.14 per game
- Chelsea Away Goals Average: 1.88 per game
- Chelsea Streak: Scored in their last 13 matches.
SWOT Analysis: Newcastle United vs Chelsea
Newcastle United
Strengths
- Home Advantage: Out of the last 32 meetings at St. James’ Park, Newcastle has won 15, giving them a psychological edge.
- First-Half Performances: Newcastle wins the first half in 38% of their matches, indicating they often start strong.
- Attack at Home: They average 2.14 goals per game when playing at home, posing a threat to Chelsea’s defense.
- Solid EFL Cup Performance: Recent success in the EFL Cup, with back-to-back wins in this competition.
Weaknesses
- Inconsistent Recent Form: Newcastle’s overall form is shaky with 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 games across all competitions.
- Lack of Goals Recently: They have failed to score in their last 2 matches, which could impact their confidence.
- Defensive Gaps: When they fall behind 0-1 at home, they only win 16% of the time, struggling to come back from setbacks.
Opportunities
- Chelsea’s Defensive Issues: Chelsea has conceded a goal in each of their last 6 matches, which Newcastle’s attack can exploit.
- Momentum from Prior Home Game: A 4-1 win over Chelsea in their last league meeting at home could inspire confidence.
- Chelsea’s Poor Away Resilience: If Newcastle scores first, they could dominate, as Chelsea only wins 16% of matches when trailing away.
Threats
- Chelsea’s Strong Recent Form: Chelsea has been in better form lately, winning 4 of their last 6 matches.
- Head-to-Head Disadvantage: Newcastle has only won 1 of their last 5 meetings with Chelsea, showing a psychological disadvantage.
- Chelsea’s Early Goals: If Chelsea leads 1-0, Newcastle may find it hard to turn the game around given their poor comeback record.
Chelsea FC
Strengths
- Strong Head-to-Head Record: Chelsea has dominated the matchup, winning 34 of the last 68 meetings with Newcastle.
- Scoring Consistency: Chelsea has scored in 13 consecutive matches, indicating reliable attacking output.
- Away Form Strength: They average 1.88 goals per away game and are more comfortable on the road than many teams.
- Good Record After Leading: Chelsea wins 66% of away matches when they take the lead, demonstrating mental toughness.
Weaknesses
- Defensive Fragility: They have conceded a goal in each of their last 6 matches, showing vulnerability at the back.
- Struggles in EFL Cup against Newcastle: Chelsea has lost 1 of their last 4 EFL Cup meetings against Newcastle, indicating a possible struggle in knockout formats.
- Performance Against Strong Starters: Newcastle wins 75% of home games when leading 1-0, which could trouble Chelsea if they concede early.
Opportunities
- Exploiting Newcastle’s Poor Form: Newcastle’s recent struggles can be exploited, especially given their two-game goal drought.
- Consistent First-Half Performance: With Chelsea winning 40% of their first halves, they have the opportunity to control the game early.
- Psychological Advantage: A narrow 2-1 win in their last meeting could give Chelsea the upper hand.
Threats
- Strong Newcastle Attack at Home: Newcastle’s average of 2.14 goals per home game is a direct threat to Chelsea’s defense.
- Risk of Early Deficit: If Newcastle scores first, Chelsea may struggle to overturn the deficit, as they only win 16% of matches when trailing 1-0 away.
- Hostile Atmosphere at St. James’ Park: Newcastle has a strong home record against Chelsea, with 40 home goals scored in the last 32 meetings.
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Prediction
This match is shaping up to be a closely contested battle. Newcastle’s home advantage and strong crowd support at St. James’ Park make them dangerous. However, Chelsea’s superior recent form and attacking firepower give them the edge.
Predicted Result: 2-2 Draw
Follow Thesportsprince.com for the best previews and football analysis.
