Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund: Champions Real Madrid and challengers Borussia Dortmund reignite their rivalry in a rematch of the 2023-24 Champions League final, clashing once again in Tuesday’s group-stage showdown at the Bernabeu.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Record
- Real Madrid wins: 7
- Borussia Dortmund wins: 3
- Draws: 5
Last Match
- Real Madrid 2-0 Borussia Dortmund (June 2, 2024)
In their last encounter, Real Madrid secured a convincing 2-0 victory in the Champions League final.
Form Guide
Real Madrid
- Champions League form: W, L
- Overall form: W, W, D, L, W, W
Borussia Dortmund
- Champions League form: W, W
- Overall form: W, L, W, W, L, W
Both teams enter this match with mixed domestic form, though Real Madrid have been more consistent. Dortmund’s Champions League campaign is off to a perfect start, with two consecutive wins.
Possible Lineups
Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Goalkeeper: Courtois
Defenders: Vazquez, Militao, Rudiger, Mendy
Midfielders: Bellingham, Tchouameni, Valverde
Forwards: Rodrygo, Mbappe, Vinicius Jr
Borussia Dortmund (4-2-3-1)
Goalkeeper: Kobel
Defenders: Ryerson, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini
Midfielders: Can, Sabitzer
Attackers: Malen, Brandt, Gittens
Striker: Guirassy
Key Players to Watch
Real Madrid
Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid): The former Dortmund midfielder will look to make an impact against his former club.
Kylian Mbappe (Real Madrid): A constant threat with his pace and finishing ability.
Borussia Dortmund
Julian Brandt (Borussia Dortmund): Dortmund’s creative force, instrumental in the final third.
Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): A lethal striker in top form this season.
Important Match Facts
- Real Madrid have won their last 6 home matches and are unbeaten in their last 38 home games.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored at least one goal in their last 7 matches.
- The average number of goals in meetings between the two teams is 3.8 goals per match.
- Real Madrid wins 44% of their halftimes, while Dortmund edges it with 48%.
- Borussia Dortmund score 40% of their goals in the last 15 minutes of matches.
5 Betting Tips
- Real Madrid to Win
Madrid are favorites with a 64.7% chance of winning. They have dominated Dortmund in recent meetings, especially at home. - Over 2.5 Goals
With both teams boasting attacking lineups, expect an open game with at least three goals. - Both Teams to Score – Yes
Dortmund have been consistent scorers, and Madrid’s defense has been breached in recent games. - First-Half Goals – Real Madrid
Madrid typically start strong at home, with a high chance of leading by halftime. - Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime
Mbappe’s form makes him a solid bet to get on the scoresheet.
SWOT Analysis: Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
Strengths
- Home Dominance: Undefeated in their last 38 home matches, winning six consecutively.
- Head-to-Head Edge: Won the last encounter 2-0 and have not lost in their last six home meetings against Dortmund.
- Attack Depth: Average 2.72 goals per home game with a formidable lineup featuring Vinicius Jr, Mbappe, and Rodrygo.
- Comeback Ability: Win 85% of matches when trailing 1-0 at home, showcasing resilience.
Weaknesses
- Champions League Inconsistency: Mixed form in the tournament (W, L), indicating occasional lapses.
- Dependence on Key Players: Injuries or poor performances from Courtois, Bellingham, or Vinicius Jr could disrupt momentum.
- Halftime Performance: Win only 44% of first halves, leaving room for opponents to gain early momentum.
Opportunities
- Exploit Dortmund’s Away Weakness: Dortmund struggle when falling behind away (0% win rate).
- Capitalize on Momentum: Recent wins in all competitions suggest Real Madrid is hitting peak form.
- Mbappe Factor: New addition Mbappe could tip the scales with his pace and goal-scoring prowess.
Threats
- Dortmund’s Late Goals: Dortmund score 40% of their goals between the 76-90th minutes, making them dangerous late in the game.
- Champions League Pressure: Dortmund have shown better overall Champions League performance, posing a tactical threat.
Borussia Dortmund
Strengths
- Champions League Form: Two consecutive wins in the tournament, showing confidence on the European stage.
- Strong Finishers: Score heavily in the final minutes, posing a threat to defenses that lose focus late.
- Halftime Advantage: Win 48% of first halves, suggesting a fast start against any opposition.
Weaknesses
- Poor Head-to-Head Record: No wins in the last five meetings with Real Madrid.
- Away Struggles: Haven’t won in their last six visits to Madrid, with an unfavorable 14-7 goal difference.
- Defensive Vulnerabilities: Conceded goals in each of their last five matches, hinting at gaps in defense.
Opportunities
- High Press and Early Goal: When Dortmund score first away, they win 66% of those matches.
- Guirassy’s Form: The striker could pose a threat with his recent scoring streak, complementing the creative play of Brandt and Sabitzer.
- Exploit Madrid’s Halftime Slumps: Madrid’s tendency to underperform in first halves offers a window to gain the upper hand.
Threats
- Real Madrid’s Home Fortress: Breaking Madrid’s 38-match unbeaten home streak will be a major challenge.
- Key Player Risks: Heavy reliance on Guirassy and Brandt could backfire if Real Madrid’s defense isolates them.
- Momentum Issues: Inconsistent form with recent losses across competitions could impact confidence.
Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Real Madrid are the clear favorites for this clash, given their home advantage and superior head-to-head record. Dortmund’s resilience and ability to score late will keep them in the game, but Madrid’s firepower should prove decisive.
Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Borussia Dortmund
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