ATP Finals 2024: Alcaraz vs Rublev Preview, Head-to-Head & Prediction

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Alcaraz vs Rublev: In a much-anticipated clash at the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin, Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz faces Russia’s Andrey Rublev in a match that will shape their paths in the tournament. Both players are coming off losses in their opening matches – Alcaraz fell to Casper Ruud (6-1, 7-5), and Rublev was defeated by Alexander Zverev (6-4, 6-4) – which adds extra urgency for both as they aim to secure a win.

Alcaraz vs Rublev Head-to-Head

  • Overall Record: 1-1
  • Their last meeting was in 2024 at the ATP Masters 1000 in Madrid, where Rublev won in three sets (4-6, 6-3, 6-2).
  • Previous Indoor Hard Court Meeting: Alcaraz defeated Rublev at the 2023 Nitto ATP Finals (7-5, 6-2).

In head-to-head meetings, Alcaraz and Rublev are evenly matched, with each player having won once. Their last encounter took place at the ATP Masters 1000 in Madrid, where Rublev emerged victorious in a three-set battle (4-6, 6-3, 6-2). This will be their second meeting on indoor hard courts, with Alcaraz claiming their previous indoor match at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2023 (7-5, 6-2).

Player Profiles: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev

  • Carlos Alcaraz (Rank: 3)
    • Age: 21
    • Height: 6’0″ (183 cm)
    • Plays: Right-handed, two-handed backhand
    • Turned Pro: 2018
    • 2024 Record: 52 wins, 11 losses
    • Career Titles: 16
    • Career Prize Money: $36,148,985
  • Andrey Rublev (Rank: 8)
    • Age: 27
    • Height: 6’2″ (188 cm)
    • Plays: Right-handed, two-handed backhand
    • Turned Pro: 2014
    • 2024 Record: 43 wins, 23 losses
    • Career Titles: 16
    • Career Prize Money: $25,355,167

Last Meetings

  • Event: ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2024)
  • Winner: Andrey Rublev (4-6, 6-3, 6-2)

Alcaraz and Rublev have shared intense battles recently. In their most recent encounter in Madrid on clay, Rublev managed a come-from-behind win over Alcaraz in the quarterfinals. However, Alcaraz defeated Rublev in straight sets during the 2023 Nitto ATP Finals, which took place on an indoor hard court similar to their upcoming clash. Alcaraz’s prior win on this surface may give him a psychological edge heading into the match.

Attribute Carlos Alcaraz Andrey Rublev
Rank 3 8
Age 21 27
Height 6’0″ (183 cm) 6’2″ (188 cm)
Plays Right-handed, two-handed backhand Right-handed, two-handed backhand
Turned Pro 2018 2014
2024 Record (W/L) 52-11 43-23
YTD Titles 4 2
Career Record (W/L) 207-54 335-181
Career Titles 16 16
Career Prize Money $36,148,985 $25,355,167
2024 Hard Court Record 26-11 22-5

 

 

Prediction

While Rublev’s recent victory over Alcaraz in Madrid could suggest a close battle, Alcaraz’s stronger season, versatility, and past success on indoor hard courts make him the favorite. Given the stakes at the Nitto ATP Finals and Alcaraz’s hunger for a strong result, he is expected to come out aggressive. Alcaraz in two close sets is the likely outcome, though Rublev’s resilience will ensure a fiercely contested match.

Prediction: Alcaraz in Two Sets

 

Where to Watch Alcaraz vs Rublev

  • Broadcast: Sony Sports Network (India)
  • Streaming: Sony LIV
    The ATP World Tour Finals will be broadcast on Sony Sports and Sony LIV in India from November 10 to November 17, 2024, live from the Pala Alpitour in Turin, Italy.

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