Brazil vs Uruguay WC Qualifer Preview: Lineup, Predictions and SWOT Analysis

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Brazil vs Uruguay WC Qualifer Preview: Lineup, Predictions and SWOT Analysis

Brazil vs Uruguay: The World Cup CONMEBOL Qualifiers bring us a high-stakes showdown as Brazil hosts Uruguay on November 20, 2024, at the iconic Arena Fonte Nova in Salvador, Brazil.

 

Brazil vs Uruguay Head-to-Head

  • Brazil wins: 40
  • Uruguay wins: 23
  • Draws:17

 

Last 5 Meetings

  1. Copa America 2024: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil
  2. WC Qualifiers 2023: Uruguay 2-0 Brazil
  3. WC Qualifiers 2021: Brazil 4-1 Uruguay
  4. WC Qualifiers 2020: Uruguay 0-2 Brazil
  5. Friendly 2018: Brazil 1-0 Uruguay

 

Form Guide

Brazil (All Competitions):

  • Last 6 matches: L-W-L-W-W-D
  • Inconsistent but potent, Brazil will aim to bounce back from a recent loss to Uruguay.

Uruguay (All Competitions):

  • Last 6 matches: W-D-D-L-D-W
  • A mixed bag, Uruguay has struggled to find the net consistently, with a streak of 4 games without scoring.

 

Current Standings

Team P W D L GF GA GD PTS
2. Uruguay 11 5 4 2 16 8 +8 19
4. Brazil 11 5 2 4 16 10 +6 17

 

Brazil vs Uruguay Lineups

Brazil:
Formation: 4-2-3-1

  • GK: Ederson
  • DEF: Danilo, Marquinhos, Gabriel Magalhães, Abner Vinícius
  • MID: Gerson, Bruno Guimarães; Savinho, Raphinha, Vinícius Júnior
  • FWD: Gabriel Jesus

Uruguay:
Formation: 4-3-3

  • GK: Sergio Rochet
  • DEF: Nahitan Nández, José Giménez, Mathías Olivera, Marcelo Saracchi
  • MID: Manuel Ugarte, Federico Valverde, Facundo Pellistri
  • FWD: Darwin Núñez, Rodrigo Aguirre, Maximiliano Araújo

 

10 Key Stats

  1. Brazil has not lost to Uruguay at home in their last 5 encounters.
  2. Uruguay scores 46% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes.
  3. Brazil has a higher first-half win rate (35%) compared to Uruguay (29%).
  4. Uruguay has failed to score in their last 4 matches.
  5. Brazil averages 1.4 goals per game against Uruguay; Uruguay averages 0.6.
  6. Darwin Núñez has 5 goals for Uruguay, while Raphinha leads Brazil with 4.
  7. Brazil scores 25% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes.
  8. Brazil has scored in 4 of their 5 home matches during this qualifying campaign.
  9. Uruguay has won just 1 of their last 5 qualifiers against Brazil.
  10. Uruguay has drawn 4 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.

SWOT Analysis: Brazil vs Uruguay

Brazil

Strengths:

  • Historical Dominance: Brazil has an excellent record against Uruguay, winning 8 of their last 16 encounters and remaining unbeaten in their last 5 home games against them.
  • Home Advantage: Playing at Arena Fonte Nova, where Brazil has not lost to Uruguay in recent memory, bolsters their confidence.
  • Offensive Power: Brazil averages 1.4 goals per game against Uruguay, showcasing their attacking capabilities.
  • Key Players in Form: Raphinha (4 goals) and Bruno Guimarães (2 assists) are pivotal in their goal contributions.

Weaknesses:

  • Inconsistency in Scoring: Brazil failed to score in 1 of their 5 home matches during this qualification campaign.
  • Defensive Vulnerability: Brazil concedes 1.2 goals on average at home, which could be a concern against Uruguay’s counterattacking threat.
  • Poor Comeback Record: When trailing 0-1 at home, Brazil has not managed a comeback win.

Opportunities:

  • Uruguay’s Poor Form: Uruguay has not scored in their last 4 matches, providing Brazil an opportunity to capitalize on a misfiring attack.
  • Crucial Qualification Points: A win could solidify their standing and improve their momentum in the campaign.
  • Second-Half Surge: With 25% of their goals scored between minutes 46-60, Brazil can exploit this phase to gain the upper hand.

Threats:

  • Uruguay’s Stubborn Defense: Uruguay has a history of grinding out results, which could frustrate Brazil’s attacking efforts.
  • Revenge Factor: Uruguay’s 2-0 win in their last meeting may motivate them to repeat the feat.
  • Reliance on Key Players: Over-dependence on Raphinha and Vinícius Júnior could backfire if Uruguay neutralizes them.

 

Uruguay

Strengths:

  • Recent Victory: Their 2-0 win in the last meeting provides psychological confidence.
  • Counterattacking Prowess: Players like Darwin Núñez (5 goals) and Federico Valverde can exploit spaces in Brazil’s defense.
  • Solid Away Record in Leads: When leading 1-0 away, Uruguay wins 75% of the time.

Weaknesses:

  • Goal-Scoring Drought: Uruguay has failed to score in their last 4 matches, highlighting their attacking struggles.
  • Poor Record in Brazil: They haven’t won in Brazil in their last 5 visits, managing only 2 draws.
  • Inconsistent Midfield Creativity: Despite Valverde’s efforts, their midfield has struggled to create consistent chances.

Opportunities:

  • Exploiting Brazil’s Weak Defense in First Halves: Brazil concedes first-half goals more often, giving Uruguay a chance to take an early lead.
  • Set-Pieces: Uruguay’s physical presence and aerial ability could trouble Brazil on set plays.
  • High Efficiency in Away Leads: If Uruguay manages to score first, they are adept at defending leads.

Threats:

  • Defensive Fragility: Uruguay has conceded in crucial moments during qualifiers, and Brazil’s attacking depth could expose gaps.
  • Pressure to Perform: With only a slim lead over Brazil in the standings, failure to secure points could see Uruguay slip down the table.
  • Key Player Dependence: Heavy reliance on Darwin Núñez and Valverde for goal contributions makes their attack predictable.

 

Brazil vs Uruguay Prediction

Despite Brazil’s recent dip in form, their home advantage and historical dominance against Uruguay make them favorites. Uruguay’s lack of goals in recent games is a concern, though they’ll draw confidence from their 2-0 win in October. Expect a tightly contested match.

Predicted Score: Brazil 1-0 Uruguay

Where to Watch Brazil vs Uruguay

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