MADRID OPEN FINAL 2025 – Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper Prediction ,H2H, and Match Analysis

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MADRID OPEN FINAL 2025 – Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper Prediction ,H2H, and Match Analysis

Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper: Sunday’s final at the Mutua Madrid Open pits seasoned clay-court warrior Casper Ruud against Britain’s rising lefty Jack Draper. While Ruud has reached multiple Grand Slam finals and is no stranger to the big stage, Draper is riding a career-best wave, seeking the biggest title of his young career in what will be their first-ever meeting.


Head-to-Head: First Meeting (0–0)

This will be the first time Ruud and Draper share a court, adding intrigue to an already fascinating final. Ruud has long been one of the ATP Tour’s most consistent performers on clay, while Draper has proven his ability to adapt his game to the surface with a breakout run in Madrid.

Player Comparison

Attribute Casper Ruud Jack Draper
Age 26 23
ATP Rank 15 6
Career-High Rank 2 6
Height 6’0″ (183 cm) 6’4″ (193 cm)
Weight 178 lbs (81 kg) 187 lbs (85 kg)
Plays Right-handed Left-handed
Backhand Two-handed Two-handed
Turned Pro 2015 2018
Career Titles 12 3
Career W/L 273–146 93–55
YTD Record (2025) 15–6 14–4
YTD Titles 1
Prize Money $23.44 million $6.79 million

 

Current Form: Both Peaking on the Big Stage

Draper has put together a headline-grabbing run in Madrid, proving he’s more than just a hard-court threat. With wins over Matteo Berrettini (via retirement), Tommy Paul, Matteo Arnaldi, and Lorenzo Musetti, he’s showcased power and poise — especially from the baseline.

Ruud, on the other hand, has looked rock-solid on his favorite surface. The Norwegian has overcome a tough draw, surviving high-quality matches while showcasing his trademark consistency and heavy topspin forehand. His clay pedigree and recent semifinal win over Taylor Fritz make him a formidable opponent.

Surface Edge: Clay Is Ruud’s Wheelhouse, But Draper Is Dangerous

Casper Ruud is a proven performer on clay with multiple titles and deep runs at Roland Garros to his name. Draper, however, has quickly evolved on the surface — his 6–1 clay record this year and adaptability at altitude have made him a serious threat. His lefty serve and early ball-striking will be key weapons in disrupting Ruud’s rhythm.

Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper Prediction

With no head-to-head history, this match offers an intriguing clash of styles. Ruud’s clay court prowess and experience in big finals make him the logical favorite. But Draper is fearless, and with his explosive shot-making, he has the tools to trouble the Norwegian.

Prediction: Draper in three sets

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