Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Preview: Tips, SWOT Analysis and Prediction

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Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Preview: Tips, SWOT Analysis and Prediction

Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr : Al Riyadh hosts Al Nassr Riyadh in an eagerly anticipated Saudi Professional League match at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium. Al Riyadh is 3rd while Al Nassr is 6th.

 

Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Head to Head

In the past seven years, Al Riyadh and Al Nassr have met twice, with Al Nassr winning one and the other ending in a draw. Their most recent encounters were a 2-2 draw in May 2024 and a 4-1 win for Al Nassr in December 2023.

  • Total Matches: 2
  • Al Riyadh Wins: 0
  • Draws: 1
  • Al Nassr Wins: 1

 

Form Guide

Al Riyadh and Al Nassr have shown varying forms coming into this match:

  • Al Riyadh Form: L, W, W, L, D
  • Al Nassr Form: W, W, W, D, D

 

Last Meetings

  • 23 May 2024 – Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Nassr
  • 8 Dec 2023 – Al Nassr 4-1 Al Riyadh

Al Nassr has shown dominance, but Al Riyadh’s recent draw indicates they are capable of competing.

 

Season So Far

Al Nassr currently sits in 3rd place in the Professional League, boasting a strong record of 5 wins and 4 draws with no losses. They have scored 20 goals and conceded only 8, showing solid defensive and offensive balance.

Al Riyadh, on the other hand, occupies the 6th position with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. They have scored 13 goals while conceding 14, showing some vulnerability in defense.

 

Possible Lineups

Al Riyadh

  • Goalkeeper: Milan Borjan
  • Defenders: Faiz Selemani, Marzouq Tambakti, Ahmed Asiri, Yoann Barbet
  • Midfielders: Abdulelah Al Khaibari, Ibrahim Bayesh, Lucas Kal, Toze, Bernard Mensah
  • Forward: Mohammed Al-Aqel

Al Nassr

  • Goalkeeper: Bento
  • Defenders: Nawaf Al Boushail, Mohamed Simakan, Aymeric Laporte, Sultan Alganham
  • Midfielders: Otavio, Anderson Talisca, Marcelo Brozovic
  • Forwards: Sadio Mane, Cristiano Ronaldo, Angelo Borges

 

10 Key Tips and Match Facts

  1. Al Nassr scores 25% of their goals in the last 15 minutes.
  2. Al Nassr have a strong away record with no losses in their last six away games.
  3. Al Riyadh has failed to score in 2 of their 4 home games.
  4. Al Nassr’s away record this season: 3 wins, 1 draw.
  5. Ibrahim Bayesh leads Al Riyadh in scoring with 3 goals.
  6. Sadio Mane is Al Nassr’s top assister with 5 assists.
  7. Al Nassr wins 50% of halftimes compared to Al Riyadh’s 14%.
  8. Al Riyadh scores 38% of their goals between the 76th-90th minute.
  9. Marcelo Brozovic has the most yellow cards for Al Nassr (3).
  10. Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 6 goals for Al Nassr this season.

SWOT Analysis: Al Riyadh vs. Al Nassr

Al Riyadh

Strengths

  • Improved Standing: Al Riyadh is currently 6th in the league, a significant improvement from last year when they were in 13th position.
  • Goal Scoring in Key Moments: Al Riyadh scores 38% of their goals between minutes 76-90, showing resilience and the ability to capitalize on late-game opportunities.
  • Key Playmakers: Ibrahim Bayesh (3 goals) and Bernard Mensah (3 assists) provide offensive stability and creativity.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive Vulnerability: With 14 goals conceded over 9 matches, defensive issues persist, leading to a negative goal difference.
  • Inconsistent Home Performance: Al Riyadh has struggled to score in 50% of their home matches, impacting their ability to secure crucial points.
  • Low Possession: Averaging 44% possession per game, the team may struggle to control the pace against stronger opponents like Al Nassr.

Opportunities

  • Capitalizing on Home Advantage: While they face challenges at home, a familiar environment could bolster their performance against a formidable opponent.
  • Chance to Upset a High-Ranked Team: Facing a top team like Al Nassr offers Al Riyadh an opportunity to test their progress and potentially gain momentum with a strong result.

Threats

  • Defensive Instability Against Top Attackers: Facing a high-caliber attack featuring Cristiano Ronaldo and Sadio Mane will be challenging for Al Riyadh’s defense.
  • Card Accumulation: Key defender Ahmed Asiri has accrued 4 yellow cards, and more disciplinary actions could expose the team’s defensive line.

Al Nassr

Strengths

  • Unbeaten Streak: Al Nassr holds an unbeaten record in the last 9 matches, with 5 wins and 4 draws, reinforcing their position in 3rd place.
  • Offensive Powerhouse: With 20 goals scored, Al Nassr averages 2.2 goals per match, bolstered by Cristiano Ronaldo’s 6 goals and Sadio Mane’s 5 assists.
  • Strong Away Form: Their undefeated record on the road this season (3 wins, 1 draw) demonstrates adaptability and resilience away from home.

Weaknesses

  • Reliance on Late Goals: Although scoring 25% of their goals between minutes 76-90 shows strong finishing, an overreliance on late goals could be risky if they fall behind early.
  • Disciplinary Issues: Marcelo Brozovic has received 3 yellow cards, and further penalties could impact midfield stability.

Opportunities

  • Chance to Climb the Table: Securing 3 points could help Al Nassr close the gap with the league leaders, strengthening their title contention.
  • Exploiting Al Riyadh’s Defensive Weaknesses: With Al Riyadh conceding 14 goals so far, Al Nassr’s attacking lineup has a favorable chance to exploit defensive lapses.

Threats

  • Late-game Goals from Al Riyadh: Al Riyadh has proven their ability to score late in matches, which could test Al Nassr’s focus and endurance.
  • Potential for a Stalemate: Al Riyadh has shown resilience in recent matchups, as evidenced by their 2-2 draw in May, indicating they can compete and possibly neutralize Al Nassr’s attack.

Odds and Predictions

Given Al Nassr’s stronger form and higher league standing, they are favored to win this matchup. However, Al Riyadh’s recent form and home advantage might present challenges.

  • Odds: Al Nassr are favorites with a win probability of around 76%.
  • Predicted Score: Al Nassr 3-1 Al Riyadh.

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